This week’s podcast is about political risk in China tech, but really it is about how to think systematically about the role of the State. And about making investment decisions on uncertain terrains.

You can listen to this podcast here or at iTunes, Google Podcasts and Himalaya.

Here are five investment approaches to uncertain environments.

How to assess the role of the State and political risk:

• Question 1: Does the State have an active role in this sector?
  • If so, don’t go forward until you can understand it. It is one of three key forces.
  • If no role, then you can view this with a typical industry approach.
• Question 2: If there is an active role, what are the State’s interests? What is the evidence for this?
  • Is it actively supporting?
  • Is it against against rapid or significant development?
  • Is it just muddy and mixed?
• Ques 3: If it is actively supporting, then ask how this firm is advancing the State’s interests? How is it working with govt? That is the main thing that matters.

About Giants, Dwarves and the State:

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I write, speak and consult about how to win (and not lose) in digital strategy and transformation.

I am the founder of TechMoat Consulting, a boutique consulting firm that helps retailers, brands, and technology companies exploit digital change to grow faster, innovate better and build digital moats. Get in touch here.

My book series Moats and Marathons is one-of-a-kind framework for building and measuring competitive advantages in digital businesses.

Note: This content (articles, podcasts, website info) is not investment advice. The information and opinions from me and any guests may be incorrect. The numbers and information may be wrong. The views expressed may no longer be relevant or accurate. Investing is risky. Do your own research.